Prices and Charts
Weekly Market Overview – 16 April 2025
Precious metals surged across the board this week, led by strong moves in both gold and silver. USD silver outpaced gold slightly, rising 9.9% to $32.49, while gold climbed 9.2% to $3,266, setting a new all-time high.
In NZD terms, gold rose 2.5% to $5,544, and silver gained 3.2% to $55.16, despite a sharp 6.5% rally in the NZ dollar — which broke above overhead resistance and is now testing its 200-day moving average.
With both USD gold and silver now well above their 200-day MAs and trading in breakout territory, momentum remains firmly to the upside. The stronger Kiwi dollar has softened local price gains somewhat, but NZD gold and silver are still holding above key support zones and remain within well-defined uptrends.
In short:
- 🟡 Gold remains in breakout mode globally, and dips in NZD remain attractive buying opportunities.
- ⚪ Silver continues to track closely with broader risk markets, but the long-term trend remains intact.
- 🇳🇿 The NZ dollar is showing strength, but hasn’t derailed the upward momentum in local precious metals.
Check out the charts below for buy zones to watch for on any dips.
Need Help Understanding the Charts?
Check out this post if any of the terms we use when discussing the gold, silver and NZ Dollar charts are unknown to you:
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Gold/Silver Ratio at 100: What History Says Happens Next
The gold/silver ratio just broke above 100:1 — a level that has historically signalled major silver moves.
In 2020, it hit 125… and silver doubled in just 6 months.
In 2011, it dropped to 30… and silver soared to nearly $50/oz.
Could 2025 be setting up for something similar?
🧐 In this week’s feature article we cover:
- A 125-year chart of the ratio
- Our full silver price projection table
- What levels to watch (and why silver may be undervalued right now)
👉 Read the full update here
Kiwi Retail Investors: Buying the Dip or Mistiming the Cycle?
While local investors are jumping back into stocks, some global indicators are flashing caution.
Sharesies just reported record signups and trading volumes, with Kiwis rushing to ‘buy the dip’ amid market chaos.
Stuff.co.nz: Record Signups at Sharesies →
But is this a smart move — or a potential case of poor timing?
Just last week:
- The S&P 500 formed a death cross — a technical pattern often seen before major market downturns.
- A massive one-day rally was the biggest since 2008, and similar to a December 2000 surge — both of which occurred during bear markets, not the start of bull runs.
📉 See chart of the Death Cross →
📉 Why big gains often happen in bear markets →
As history reminds us:
The biggest market rallies often occur inside bear markets, not after them.
Meanwhile, Gold Quietly Keeps Climbing — But This May Only Be the Beginning
While retail traders chase stock rebounds, gold just set another all-time high, closing at $3,237.97/oz.
According to macro analyst Nomi Prins, we’re entering the next phase of a multi-year gold bull supercycle — one driven not by short-term headlines, but by structural global shifts:
- 🏦 Central banks diversifying away from the U.S. dollar
- 🌍 Geopolitical instability and tariff risk
- 🧾 Erosion of trust in fiat currencies
- 💰 Gold’s return as the ultimate reserve asset
Recent data from the World Gold Council shows that gold has yet to match the scale or duration of past major bull markets — suggesting further upside potential.
Source
Meanwhile, central banks still hold just 11% gold in their reserves. But a recent BofA Global Research study indicates that portfolios are most efficient with 30% gold — meaning global accumulation could continue for years.
Source
“We continue to stand by our forecast: gold will reach $3,800–$4,000 per ounce by year-end, and $5,000 within two years.” — Nomi Prins
Gold’s recent behaviour — rising during both market sell-offs and recoveries — reinforces its strength as a hedge not just against crisis, but against confusion.
As some are rushing back into stocks, others are quietly positioning for safety.
While others chase the rebound, will you seek refuge instead?
Please get in contact for a gold or silver quote, or if you have any questions:
- Email: orders@goldsurvivalguide.co.nz
- Phone: 0800 888 GOLD ( 0800 888 465 ) (or +64 9 2813898)
- or Shop Online with indicative pricing
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As always we are happy to answer any questions you have about buying gold or silver. In fact, we encourage them, as it often gives us something to write about. So if you have any get in touch.
- Email: orders@goldsurvivalguide.co.nz
- Phone: 0800 888 GOLD ( 0800 888 465 ) (or +64 9 2813898)
- or Online order form with indicative pricing
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Note:
- Prices are excluding delivery
- 1 Troy ounce = 31.1 grams
- 1 Kg = 32.15 Troy ounces
- Request special pricing for larger orders, such as a monster box of Canadian maple silver coins
- Lower pricing for local gold orders of 10 to 29 ozs and best pricing for 30 ozs or more.
- Foreign currency options are available so you can purchase from USD, AUD, EURO, GBP
- Plus, we accept BTC, BCH, Visa, and Mastercard
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The Legal stuff – Disclaimer:
We are not financial advisors, accountants or lawyers. Any information we provide is not intended as investment or financial advice. It is merely information based upon our own experiences. The information we discuss is of a general nature and should merely be used as a place to start your own research and you definitely should conduct your own due diligence. You should seek professional investment or financial advice before making any decisions. |
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