This is the Best Predictor of a Recession – When is the Next One Due?

 

This Week:

  • The Yield Curve Recession Predictor: Impact on Gold?
  • The Next Gold Bull Market Looms
  • Saxo Bank’s CIO: Now Is The Time To Be In Capital-Preservation Mode

Prices and Charts

Change from last weeks gold and silver prices

Looking to sell your gold and silver?Visit this page for more information
Buying Back 1oz NZ Gold 9999 Purity $1755
Buying Back 1kg NZ Silver 999 Purity $688

NZ Dollar Gold Still Drifting Sideways

NZ Dollar gold continues to bounce between the 50 and 200 day moving average (MA) lines. With the 50 day MA trending lower, gold is getting more and more tightly compressed within these lines. It will have to break out one way or the other soon.

NZ Dollar Gold Chart

NZ dollar silver also continues to drift sideways, above $22. There remains a chance it could pull back to the uptrend line just below $22. But that is not far away now. Silver will have to break out of this wedge formation it has been in since 2016 soon. Although it could still drift sideways for a little longer and stay within the confines of this wedge formation.

NZ Dollar Silver Chart

Kiwi Dollar Dips Lower – More to Come?

The Kiwi Dollar dropped almost 2% this week. It also closed below the 0.72 level that has acted as support so far this year. But the Dollar is sitting right on the 200 day moving average (pink line). With the RSI overbought oversold indicator near neutral there is room for the Dollar to head lower yet.

NZ Dollar Chart

From a longer term perspective the NZ Dollar looks to be in a large wedge formation. There is plenty of room for it to move back below 0.70 and stay with this formation. A falling NZ dollar will of course support local precious metals prices.

NZ Dollar Chart

Unsure About Any Terms We Use When Discussing the Charts?

Check out this post if any of the terms we use when discussing the gold, silver and NZ Dollar charts are unknown to you:

Gold and Silver Technical Analysis: The Ultimate Beginners Guide

Continues below

 

—– OFFER FROM OUR SISTER COMPANY: Emergency Food NZ —– 

 

Do you have all the essentials on hand if you need to leave home in a hurry?

Get Your Own Emergency Survival Kit

Now Available. In Stock. Ready to Ship.

Survival Kit

Grab Your Own Grab ‘n’ Go Bag NOW….

—–

This is the Best Predictor of a Recession – When is the Next One Due?

Odds are you may have heard talk recently that the USA is overdue a recession. When a recession hits the USA, it will impact the rest of the world including here in New Zealand.

The best predictor of a recession we have seen is the yield curve. While the yield curve may sound like something only economists would know about and discuss, it’s actually a surprisingly simple measure.

In this week feature article we cover:

  1. What is the Yield Curve?
  2. What is an Inverted Yield Curve?
  3. What Does an Inverted Yield Curve Mean?
  4. How Does the Yield Curve Predict Recessions?
  5. What is the Yield Curve Saying Today?
  6. Recession Indicator: How Far Away Might the Next Recession Be?
  7. What to Do to Prepare?
  8. The Yield Curve and Gold

The Yield Curve Recession Predictor: Impact on Gold?

The Yield Curve Recession Predictor: Impact on Gold?

Gold Survival Guide Android App
Download on Google Play

Your Questions Wanted

Remember, if you’ve got a specific question, be sure to send it in to be in the running for a 1oz silver coin.

Win a silver coin

Now Is The Time To Be In Capital-Preservation Mode

On a related note, Saxo Bank’s chief economist is expecting a market correction and thinks now is the time to be in capital preservation mode. So check out his thoughts on what may be in store this year. He is sounding a clear warning of an arriving market correction & urges investors to exit leveraged positions and build cash.

Saxo Bank’s CIO: Now Is The Time To Be In Capital-Preservation Mode

Saxo Bank's CIO: Now Is The Time To Be In Capital-Preservation Mode

The Next Gold Bull Market Looms

If a recession may be on the horizon, it’s perhaps not that surprising that gold may be close to continuing its ascent.

But it’s not just the threat of recession that might impact gold. There’s a number of other factors at play currently.

  • There are political ructions globally.
  • The debt cycle has entered its terminal stage.
  • Central banks are changing their monetary policies – moving away from money printing and towards higher interest rates. Higher interest rates should put more pressure on the global financial system in the years ahead.

See more about those factors in this post:

The Next Gold Bull Market Looms

The Next Gold Bull Market Looms

No one knows when the next recession is due. Nor how bad it will be. Indicators like the yield curve can act as signposts along the way. But you need to be prepared before the trouble arrives.

Gold and silver continue to trend sideways at lower levels (silver in particular as we have discussed repeatedly in recent weeks). So we remain in excellent buying zones.

If you don’t have any silver in your possession yet, get in touch to discuss your options:

  1. Email: orders@goldsurvivalguide.co.nz
  2. Phone: 0800 888 GOLD ( 0800 888 465 ) (or +64 9 2813898)
  3. or Online order form with indicative pricing

— Prepared for Power Cuts? —

[BACK IN STOCK] New & Improved Inflatable Solar Air Lantern

Inflatable Solar LanternCheck out this cool new survival gadget.

It’s easy to use. Just charge it in the sun. Inflate it. And light up a room.

6-12 hours of backup light from a single charge! No batteries, no wires, no hassle. And at only 1 inch tall when deflated, it stores easily in your car or survival kit.

Plus, it’s waterproof so you can use it in the water.

See 6 more uses for the amazing Solar Air Lantern.

—–



This Weeks Articles:

Saxo Bank’s CIO: Now Is The Time To Be In Capital-Preservation Mode

Wed, 21 Mar 2018 11:08 AM NZST

At the start of each year Saxo Bank publishes their “Saxo Bank Outrageous Predictions” It’s not intended to be a real look into the crystal ball but rather food for thought. But Saxo Bank makes some wacky but still plausible scenarios for traders in the coming year. Their CIO Steen Jakobsen is a part of the […]

The post Saxo Bank’s CIO: Now Is The Time To Be In Capital-Preservation Modeappeared first on Gold Survival Guide.

Read More…

The Next Gold Bull Market Looms

Wed, 21 Mar 2018 9:28 AM NZST

In yesterday’s feature article, The Yield Curve Recession Predictor: Impact on Gold? we outline a timeframe for the next US and global recession to potentially arrive. We explained how the next bull market in gold and silver is also likely in it’s early stages. This article we came across this week also outlines why gold is currently […]

The post The Next Gold Bull Market Looms appeared first on Gold Survival Guide.

Read More…

The Yield Curve Recession Predictor: Impact on Gold?

Tue, 20 Mar 2018 7:01 PM NZST

The best predictor of a recession we have seen is the yield curve. While the yield curve may sound like something only economists would know about and discuss, it’s actually a surprisingly simple measure. In this post we’ll cover: What is the Yield Curve? What is an Inverted Yield Curve? What Does an Inverted Yield […]

The post The Yield Curve Recession Predictor: Impact on Gold? appeared first on Gold Survival Guide.

Read More…

Silver Psychology: Somewhere Between Depression and Disbelief

Thu, 15 Mar 2018 12:22 PM NZST

  This Week: Bad ‘Karma’ Brings Bad Consequences for Those Who Practice It Latest on the COMEX Silver CoT Report Silver Demand In India Continues to Increase Prices and Charts Looking to sell your gold and silver?Visit this page for more information Buying Back 1oz NZ Gold 9999 Purity $1743 Buying Back 1kg NZ Silver […]

The post Silver Psychology: Somewhere Between Depression and Disbelief appeared first on Gold Survival Guide.

Read More…
As always we are happy to answer any questions you have about buying gold or silver. In fact, we encourage them, as it often gives us something to write about. So if you have any get in touch.

  1. Email: orders@goldsurvivalguide.co.nz
  2. Phone: 0800 888 GOLD ( 0800 888 465 ) (or +64 9 2813898)
  3. or Online order form with indicative pricing


7 Reasons to Buy Gold & Silver via GoldSurvivalGuide

Today’s Prices to Buy
1oz NZ 99.99% pure gold bar
1oz NZ Gold Ingot
$1893
1kg NZ 99.9% pure silver bar 
1 Kilo NZ Silver Bar
$791 (price is per kilo for orders of 1-9 kgs)
$783 (price is per kilo only for orders of 10 kgs or more)
Order Now Button
1oz PAMP Suisse 99.99% pure gold bar
PAMP Lunar Goat Gold Bar
$1923
1kg PAMP 99.9% pure silver bar
PAMP Silver
$850
1oz Canadian Gold Maple 99.99% pure gold coin
Gold Maple
$1959 (or $1939 for 5 or more Backdated Year Coins)
1oz Canadian Silver Maple 99.99% pure silver coin
(Minimum order size tube of 25 coins)

Silver Maple Silver Box
Tube of 25 $706
Box of 500 $13,720 (2018’s) or $13,520 (backdated years)
(Fully insured and delivered)
Order Now Button

Note:

  • Prices are excluding delivery
  • 1 Troy ounce = 31.1 grams
  • 1 Kg = 32.15 Troy ounces
  • Request special pricing for larger orders such as monster box of Canadian maple silver coins
  • Lower pricing for local gold orders of 10 to 29ozs and best pricing for 30 ozs or more.
  • Foreign currency options available so you can purchase from USD, AUD, EURO, GBP
  • Note: For local gold and silver orders your funds are deposited into our suppliers bank account. We receive a finders fee direct from them. Pricing is as good or sometimes even better than if you went direct.

Order Now Button

Can’t Get Enough of Gold Survival Guide?
If once a week isn’t enough sign up to get daily price alerts every weekday around 9amClick here for more info

Our Mission

  1. To demystify the concept of protecting and increasing ones wealth through owning gold and silver in the current turbulent economic environment.
  2. To simplify the process of purchasing physical gold and silver bullion in NZ – particularly for first time buyers.

We look forward to hearing from you soon.

Have a golden week!

David (and Glenn)
GoldSurvivalGuide.co.nz
Ph: 0800 888 465
From outside NZ: +64 9 281 3898
email: orders@goldsurvivalguide.co.nz

Follow us on Twitter Find us on Facebook G+

The Legal stuff – Disclaimer:
We are not financial advisors, accountants or lawyers. Any information we provide is not intended as investment or financial advice. It is merely information based upon our own experiences. The information we discuss is of a general nature and should merely be used as a place to start your own research and you definitely should conduct your own due diligence. You should seek professional investment or financial advice before making any decisions.

Get Free Gold & Silver Tips and Deals!

  • Get weekly news and tips on buying, storing, and selling gold and silver.
  • Be the first to know about limited quantity gold and silver deals.
  • Get our free 19 Nuggets on Buying Gold and Silver guide right away to help you become a bullion expert.
Email Address *
First Name
*Required Fields
Note: It is our responsibility to protect your privacy and we guarantee that your data will be completely confidential.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Want to Track Gold & Silver Prices Every Day?

Get a daily price alert every weekday.

 

Along with free charts and analysis of what the price may do.

Email Address *
First Name
*Required Fields

You have Successfully Subscribed!