The World’s Buying Gold, Silver’s Breaking Out — But Central Banks Say Inflation’s Fine?

Gold Rising, Silver Surging – But Central Banks Say Inflation’s Just Fine' against a black background. The graphic includes a stack of silver coins, a white house icon, a black diagonal ratio line, and a cartoon central banker figure wearing dark glasses and a suit. The design reflects rising precious metals prices amid central bank inflation commentary
Table showing gold and silver spot prices in NZD and USD as of 24 September 2025, with weekly changes in dollars and percentages. NZD gold up 4.19%, NZD silver up 6.62%.

Estimated reading time: 4 minutes

Weekly Price Overview – 24 September 2025

Gold and silver prices surged again this week, powered by continued weakness in the NZ dollar and strong global momentum — especially for silver. Both metals are now testing or breaking into new high territory, with dips looking increasingly buyable.

🟡 NZD gold jumped $257.66 to $6,410.63 (+4.19%), breaking through multiple key round-number resistance levels ($6200, $6300, $6400). USD gold rose $79.02 to $3,757.27 (+2.15%) and remains in breakout mode.

NZD silver soared $4.66 to $75.01 (+6.62%), notching yet another new all-time high. USD silver surged $1.91 to $43.96 (+4.54%), closing in fast on the psychologically important $50 level.

💱 NZD/USD dropped -1.96% to 0.5861, delivering a tailwind for local metals prices. It broke below the 50-day MA but held the 200-day MA for now. Trend still supportive.

📈 Momentum remains strong, especially for silver. As long as USD silver stays above $40, and NZD gold holds $6000+, the uptrend remains intact — and any pullbacks still look like long-term buying opportunities.

Silver will see a decent pullback at some stage, but that could be from even higher levels than we are now at. Consider averaging in on any dips.

Chart showing NZD gold surging past $6400 and USD gold above $3750. RSI extremely overbought. Price broke through key resistance levels with strong upside momentum.
Chart showing NZD silver hitting $75.10 and USD silver reaching $43.96. Both prices in strong uptrends with RSI in overbought zone. NZD silver targets NZ$80–85, USD silver near $44 resistance.
NZD/USD chart showing a sharp drop to 0.5861. NZ dollar sits above 200-day moving average but below the 50-day MA. Weaker Kiwi supports higher local gold and silver prices.

The World’s Buying Gold. Silver’s Breaking Out. But Central Banks Say Inflation’s Fine?

This week’s price moves in gold and silver aren’t happening in isolation. Tavi Costa’s latest charts show the US has opted out of a global gold rush — while the rest of the world now holds the highest reserves in 49 years. Tavi says:

“How long can America afford to sit out the global rush for gold?

US gold reserves are now at 90-year lows, while the rest of the world has pushed their holdings to near 50-year highs.

At one point, America held over 50% of global gold reserves.

Today? Just 20%.

My view:

It’s only a matter of time before US policymakers are forced to rethink this stance.”

Line chart comparing US gold reserves to global gold reserves (excluding the US) from 1957 to 2025. Shows US gold holdings remaining flat since the 1970s, while global reserves rise, reaching their highest in 49 years. A second chart below tracks US reserves as a percentage of global gold, falling from 53% in 1960 to 20% in 2025.

Source: Tavi Costa

Chart of the Week: Silver’s Longer Term Break Out

Meanwhile, silver looks ready to post its highest quarterly close ever, forming one of the most textbook bullish technical patterns around: the cup and handle.

“With just 7 days left in the quarter, silver is on track to post its highest quarterly close in history.

If this closing level holds, it could mark a major technical breakout — cup-and-handle formations like this often precede sharp, sustained moves once all-time highs are breached. 

Of course, do your own due diligence, but this setup is one of the most compelling I’ve seen in the space.”

Silver price chart from 1970 to 2025 using quarterly candles. Highlights a large cup and handle pattern forming over multiple decades, with a breakout above the previous highs around $43. Chart suggests bullish momentum and a potential further upside.

Source: Tavi Costa

ASB & RBNZ: Inflation Could Dip Below 3% – Hmmm?

And yet… back in New Zealand, ASB just forecast inflation will drop below 3% — with the RBNZ saying spare capacity will help push CPI back toward 2%.

But while central banks sound optimistic, markets say: inflation isn’t dead — it’s just better hidden. And as more currency creation gets priced in, metals are responding loud and clear.

Meme of the Week: Stagflation Coming into Focus 

Add in slowing growth and elevated prices, and this meme of the week feels about right:

They’re not saying “stagflation” yet — but they’re starting to see it more clearly.

Two-panel meme of Jerome Powell. Top: Powell squinting with blurred text “Stagflation.” Bottom: Powell looking serious, with “Stagflation” in sharp focus. Captioned to imply that central banks are slowly acknowledging stagflation.

Source.

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