Should I Buy Gold Now or Wait? (2025 NZ Update)

Featured image showing the headline ‘Should I Buy Gold Now or Wait?’ in bold gold text on a black background, with a subheading that reads ‘How to decide if now is the right time to buy gold in New Zealand (2025)’. The background includes split imagery of gold bars and a price chart symbolising decision-making.

Gold prices in 2025 have seen record highs — then dipped — and are now bouncing back again. So it’s no surprise more New Zealanders are asking:

“Should I buy gold now, or wait for a better price?”

The truth is, there’s no perfect answer for everyone. But in this guide, we’ll walk through the signs that suggest it might be a good time to buy, what the risks are, and how you can make the smartest decision for your situation — especially here in New Zealand.

Estimated reading time: 6 minutes

What’s Happening With Gold Prices in NZ Right Now?

After hitting record levels last month, gold prices in both NZD and USD pulled back. But they’ve recently been trending upward again.

  • The NZD gold price has been particularly strong due to a weaker local currency.
  • Globally, uncertainty around inflation, interest rates, and geopolitical events have kept demand for gold high.
  • Central banks continue to increase their gold reserves, which supports prices.

See Today’s Live NZ Gold Price Here »
(or subscribe to our daily price alert for live updates)

See the NZD gold chart below for key technical levels and potential buying zones.

Chart of NZD gold price trend in 2025 showing recent pullback from all-time highs and key support zone around $6850, with suggested buying levels from $6800 to $6250.

Related: Why You Should Ignore the USD Gold Price When Buying in New Zealand

Should You Wait for a Dip — or Buy Now?

Many investors try to “time the bottom” of the gold price. But history shows it’s nearly impossible to predict the exact low — and many people end up waiting too long.

Here’s what usually happens:

  • Prices drop slightly → You wait for a bigger dip
  • Prices rise → You wait for another pullback
  • Prices hit new highs → You feel like you missed out

Buying some gold during a pullback (even if small) often beats waiting for the “perfect” time.

Remember: gold is a long-term wealth protection asset — not a get-rich-quick play.

6 Signs It Might Be a Good Time to Buy Gold in 2025

If you’re on the fence, here are key indicators that now might be a good time to act:

1. Central Banks Keep Buying

Major nations (including China and Russia) are increasing their gold holdings — a strong long-term signal.

2. Global Economic Uncertainty

Conflicts, inflation fears, and volatile markets are pushing investors toward safe-haven assets like gold.

3. NZD Weakness

A falling New Zealand dollar increases the local gold price. Buying now can hedge against further currency decline.

See chart below showing the NZD’s long-term downtrend and how it’s impacting gold prices.

Chart showing New Zealand dollar (NZD) in a long-term downtrend from 2014 to 2025, supporting rising local gold prices as the currency weakens.

4. Interest Rate Pivots

If central banks pause or cut rates, gold usually strengthens as yields on cash become less attractive.

5. Limited Physical Supply

Physical gold (bars and coins) in NZ is becoming harder to source at sharp prices that existed earlier in the year – premiums are rising.

6. Seasonal Buying Patterns

Gold often performs better from late Q3 through Q1 — now may be a timely entry point.

>> Learn more: Does Gold Seasonality Affect the NZ Dollar Gold Price?

What Are Gold Buyers Actually Doing Right Now?

As bullion dealers here in New Zealand, we’ve seen an interesting trend:
Despite gold pulling back from its recent highs, most investors haven’t stepped in to buy the dip.

In fact, buying interest has dropped off significantly since prices eased — even though many had been waiting for a better entry point.

We’re not the only ones noticing this. In a recent video, Mike Maloney from GoldSilver.com also shared that their US-based bullion business has seen very few buyers taking advantage of the pullback.

This could be viewed as a contrarian sentiment signal — when public interest is low, but the fundamentals remain strong, it may present a smart buying opportunity.

In other words: if everyone’s waiting, it might be the perfect time to act.

Related reading: Why Gold Bullion is Your Financial Insurance

Gold vs Silver: Which Is Better to Buy Right Now?

While gold gets more attention, silver is also worth considering.

GoldSilver
VolatilityLowerHigher
Price vs All-Time HighHitting new highs consistently in 2025Only just broke above its old highs from 1980 & 2011
AffordabilityMore expensiveLower entry point
Gold-to-Silver RatioHistorically highFavours silver buyers

You don’t have to choose. Many investors hold both for balance.

For more information on the process of how to buy gold see: How to Buy and Invest in Gold and Silver >>

How Much Gold Should You Own?

A common question we get is:
“How much of my portfolio should be in gold or silver?”

While it depends on your individual situation, many experts recommend having between 5% and 20% of your total investments in precious metals. This range is designed to:

  • Protect your wealth from inflation and currency devaluation
  • Reduce overall portfolio risk
  • Provide a counterbalance to property, shares, and fiat cash

If you’re uncertain, start with a small position and build over time as your confidence grows.

Learn more here: What Percentage of Gold and Silver Should Be in My Portfolio?

Best Ways to Buy Gold in NZ (2025)

Buying physical gold in NZ is simple — but there are choices to make:

🔹 Types of Gold

  • Gold bars – best value per gram
  • Gold coins – easier to sell, globally recognised (e.g. Krugerrands, Maples)

🔹 How to Buy

  • Delivery – get it shipped to your door (insured)
  • Secure Storage – we offer vault storage for maximum safety and liquidity

🔹 Where to Buy

Always choose a trusted NZ bullion dealer.
With Gold Survival Guide, you get:

  • Spot-price linked pricing
  • Live quotes
  • Allocated, insured storage if needed
  • Expert support

Request a Gold or Silver Quote Now »

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

Should I buy gold now or wait?

If you’re holding NZD, facing inflation or economic uncertainty, and looking to protect your wealth long-term — buying now may be the smarter option.

Is gold still a good investment in 2025?

Yes. Despite price fluctuations, gold continues to hold purchasing power across decades. Central banks still use it as a reserve asset.

What’s the best place to buy gold in NZ?

Look for a specialist bullion dealer (like us), with live pricing, secure storage options, and local experience.

Is gold taxed in New Zealand?

In most cases, gold bullion is GST exempt. As long as it meets certain purities. But always check with your bullion dealer to be sure.

Should I buy silver instead?

Silver can offer better short-term upside, especially when the gold-to-silver ratio is high. Many investors diversify with both.

Final Word: Don’t Wait Forever

Waiting might get you a better price…
But it might also cost you the opportunity to lock in real wealth protection at a time when:

  • Currencies are weakening
  • Inflation is uncertain
  • Gold is in high demand

If you’re unsure, start small. And remember — it’s better to be a little early than too late.

Get Today’s Best Gold Price Now »

Editor’s note: this blog post was published in August 2018. Fully updated 17 November 2025.

11 thoughts on “Should I Buy Gold Now or Wait? (2025 NZ Update)

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  7. Glenn says:

    The gold coins we sell do not have GST on them as they are 99.9% or 99.99% pure.

    See this post for more: https://goldsurvivalguide.co.nz/gold-purity-silver-purity/#h-gst-on-gold-and-silver-in-new-zealand-depends-on-the-purity

    It’s important to be aware that some very well known coins are not GST exempt in New Zealand due to their purity being less than 99.5% pure gold.

    So when these types of coins are purchased in New Zealand they will cost 15% more than other gold bullion coins that are 99.99% pure. Because GST is added to the sale price.

    For example:

    The South African Krugerrand – 22 Carat or 91.67% Pure
    The American Gold Eagle – 22 Carat or 91.67% Pure
    The British Gold Sovereign – 22 Carat or 91.67% Pure

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