We’ve featured many articles recently on why silver looks nicely set up for a decent move higher in the future. The fact that a certain bank has been steadily adding to the hoard of silver it controls is yet another reason that bodes well for silver in the future. Here are the details. There’s also a video at the end on the same topic…
Why This “Too Big to Fail” Bank Is Stockpiling Silver
By Justin Spittler – Originally posted at: Casey Daily Dispatch
“It can’t catch a bid.”
When I used to go into an office, I would hear this all the time. My coworkers, who are analysts and investors like me, were talking about silver.
It’s easy to see why. The metal has basically gone straight down from 2011–2015. No one wanted anything to do with it.
It had a short-lived rally in early 2016, when it gained nearly 50%.
But it hasn’t been able to “catch a bid” since. Take a look:
You can see that silver’s fallen 18% from its 2016 peak. And it’s traded sideways for more than a year now. But this won’t last forever…
• Sooner or later, the market will have to make up its mind…
Will silver break down or break out to the upside?
I’m taking the over. And I’m not the only one who thinks silver’s poised for a huge rally.
According to a recent Bloomberg Intelligence report, “Silver’s 52-week range is the most compressed in 15 years and appears unsustainable.” That same report said that “this extreme compression projects a revisit of 2016’s high.”
Keep in mind, silver topped out at $20 in 2016. In other words, Bloomberg’s brain trust is saying that silver could spike more than 20% from here.
That’s a huge move. But even that’s understating silver’s potential. As you’re about to see, silver could rise 10x in the coming years.
• Some people will think I’ve lost my mind for saying this…
But all the signs are pointing to a truly explosive silver rally.
I’ll spill the details in a second. But you’ve got to understand something about silver first.
It’s a special commodity. Yes, it’s an industrial metal that goes into everything from solar panels to batteries. But it’s also like gold. The word silver literally means “money” in more than a dozen languages.
This is important because silver hasn’t rallied like many other metals. In fact, it’s down 9% over the past year. Copper, the world’s most important industrial, is up 16% over the same period.
It’s also lagged well behind gold, which has risen 6% over the past 12 months.
Long story short: Silver’s been left in the dust.
• And there are a lot of theories for why this has happened…
One of the most popular is that the silver market’s rigged. But I didn’t write this essay to argue that.
Related: If Gold and Silver Are Manipulated, Why Bother Investing?
However, I will say this: The silver market is probably one of the most concentrated markets on the planet. It’s dominated by a handful of players. And right now, the biggest player in the game is stockpiling silver like no one’s ever done before.
• I’m talking about JPMorgan Chase…
JPMorgan is one of the world’s largest, most powerful, and most well-connected banks. It manages trillions of dollars. So it pays to watch what it’s doing.
And last week, the giant bank received 597,000 ounces of silver. That’s about $10 million worth.
After that giant purchase, JPMorgan now has 140 million ounces of silver sitting in its COMEX warehouse. That’s 54% of the silver supply monitored by the CME Group.
That’s a huge deal. But you also need to realize something.
• JPMorgan didn’t hold a single ounce of silver until mid-2011…
That means it built this massive silver hoard in just eight years.
But why? Well, I can’t say for certain. Only the top brass at JPMorgan knows the answer.
But it could be because the U.S. stock market is looking weaker by the day. Or maybe the bank is worried about taking heavy losses during the financial crisis. And why wouldn’t they be?
After all, the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) just named JPMorgan one of the riskiest major banks on the planet.
In any case, I do know one thing: JPMorgan isn’t loading up on silver because it expects the price of silver to fall. That alone is reason to be bullish on silver. But it’s not the only reason.
• Silver is dirt cheap right now…
You can see what I mean below.
This chart compares the price of silver with the price of gold. When this ratio is rising, it means that silver’s getting more expensive relative to gold. When it’s falling, it means silver’s getting cheaper relative to gold.
As you can see, silver’s only been this cheap two other times in the last 20 years. The last time was in early 2016. Silver then went on to rally roughly 50% over the next seven months.
The time before that was in late 2008. That time, the price of silver shot up 333% in just over two years.
• Now, I can’t guarantee that will happen again…
But the fact that JPMorgan is quietly loading up on silver tells me that something big is about to happen in the silver market.
Of course, the average investor has no clue this is going on. If they did, silver wouldn’t be trading sideways. It would be skyrocketing.
So, consider buying physical silver before the next buying frenzy begins in earnest. You can learn more about the best ways to own physical silver—and how to store it—in our free report here.
You may also want to consider investing in silver miners.
These companies are leveraged to the price of silver. In other words, the price of silver doesn’t have to move much for them to soar.
Just understand that mining stocks are risky, so treat them like speculations.
Only invest money you can afford to lose. Use stop losses. And take profits when you can get them.
Regards,
Justin Spittler
Tulum, Mexico
April 6, 2018
You might also be interested in: When to Buy Gold or Silver: The Ultimate Guide
What Does JP Morgan Know About Silver That YOU Don’t?
Also on the same topic we have this video from Chris Duane outlining why JP Morgan might be doing what they are doing in the silver market. Check it out from the 5:58m mark: