- China’s Slowdown Hits Australia – Could it Affect NZ?
- NZ Dollar Gold Breakout About to Happen?
- Why is a 1oz PAMP Gold Lady Fortuna Minted Bar Worth Less Than a Canadian Gold Maple Coin?
Prices and Charts
Gold Bouncing Back Strongly After only A Brief Fall
This week NZD gold has bounced back strongly after dipping down close to the 50 and 200 day moving averages. The price now sits very close to the recent high around $1930 (although this isn’t shown on the chart, as we write the price is at $1923 not $1912).
The 50 day moving average (MA) (blue line) has just crossed back above the 200 day MA (red line). This is generally indicative of a rising market.
So the odds are rising of a challenge of the recent high and the 2016 high. If this breakout were to occur there is a lot of upside ahead for gold. More on that in this weeks feature article below.
NZD silver also has bounced back strongly the past few days. Up almost 2% since last week after briefly dipping below the 200 day MA. It is not too far from the New Year high and also close to the downtrend line.
If we see a clear breakout in gold, silver is likely to follow. See below for more thoughts on this.
The NZ dollar has managed to get above the 50 and 200 day MA’s. But looks to be pulling back a little now. The Kiwi seems to be in a sideways trading range for now.
Need Help Understanding the Charts?
Check out this post if any of the terms we use when discussing the gold, silver and NZ Dollar charts are unknown to you:
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NZ Dollar Gold Breakout About to Happen?
As noted above gold in NZ dollars is looking quite strong and possibly ready to break out to new multi year highs.
If this break out happens there is a lot of upside ahead for gold. See where these levels are and how far off a potential breakout may be.
Also check out what may be in store for silver.
Why is a 1oz PAMP Gold Lady Fortuna Minted Bar Worth Less Than a Canadian Gold Maple Coin?
Are you close to buying some gold? Have you been considering what sort of gold to buy?
This article outlines the reasons why some products sell for more than others.
Then you can make up your own mind as to what to go for.
Your Questions Wanted
Remember, if you’ve got a specific question, be sure to send it in to be in the running for a 1oz silver coin.
China’s Slowdown Hits Australia – Could it Affect NZ?
Jim Rickards recently outlined how there are a lot of problems facing Australia currently.
“Australia is facing a constellation of challenges.
Chinese flight capital investment in Australia is drying up.
Chinese demand for Australian natural resource exports is also diminished, due to the slowdown in the Chinese economy.
Property prices are already in steep decline, and political forces will make matters worse with tax increases and the end of property tax loopholes if the Labor Party wins the upcoming elections.
Finally, the RBA will drop the ball by not cutting rates when it has the chance next month.
Political, tax and economic factors are aligned to slow the Australian economy even more than it has already slowed.
If these trends continue or accelerate, Australia may even face a recession in 2019 or 2020, which would be its first recession in almost 30 years.”
Do any of these challenges sound similar to what we face in New Zealand?
It’s hard to say how significant a correction Australian property will experience.
But the following chart highlights there is already mortgage stress equivalent to 2008 levels:
“…there’s downward pressure on property prices coming from all sides, no matter what.
Banks have tightened up on credit, interest rates are sneaking back up, and there’s a conga line of baby boomers who will soon be looking to offload an investment property or two to fund their imminent retirement.
…And if a Labor government get in next year and change negative gearing laws, and it’s highly likely, there’ll be one more reason for property prices to fall further.
Lastly, if you need any more proof that all is not so rosy for many people currently slaving away to pay off their mortgage, check out this chart…
Even today with employment high and interest rates low, we’re actually at 2008 — GFC — levels of mortgage stress.”
For now it seems the good times in Aussie may be over. New Zealand may not be too far behind either.
Be sure to have your financial insurance in place before you need it.
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- Email: [email protected]
- Phone: 0800 888 GOLD ( 0800 888 465 ) (or +64 9 2813898)
- or Shop Online with indicative pricing
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