Tag Archives: interest rates

Update: The Yield Curve Recession Predictor: Impact on Gold?

The best predictor of a recession we have seen is the yield curve. While the yield curve may sound like something only economists would know about and discuss, it’s actually a surprisingly simple measure. In this post we’ll cover: What is the Yield Curve? What is an Inverted Yield Curve? What Does an Inverted Yield […]

Should I Buy Gold Today or Wait? 6 Factors to Consider

SHOULD I BUY GOLD TODAY OR WAIT?

Here’s an excellent question from a reader which we received a few years ago. It’s about whether to buy gold today or wait. Even though he asks whether the “powers that be” will let the stock market crash while Obama is in power, it’s still relevant today. Why? Because it shows the things we think might […]

Derivatives – a Beginner’s Guide to “Financial Weapons of Mass Destruction” – 2019 Update

DERIVATIVES – A BEGINNERS GUIDE TO WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION

Following the 2009 financial crisis, the term derivatives has been firmly embedded in todays lexicon. With the failure of Bear Stearns in 2008, and subsequent bailout of multiple other too big too fail banks, the term “derivative” was popping up everywhere.  Then in 2012 we had JP Morgan’s $7 billion trading loss on credit derivatives […]

Could Negative Interest Rates Be in Store for New Zealand?

Could Negative Interest Rates Be in Store for New Zealand?

Is This What’s in Store for New Zealand Down the Road? How’s this for perverse? Could anything as crazy as negative interest rates on mortgages come to New Zealand? Homeowners in Denmark are “about to get negative interest rates on their loans for all maturities through to five years, representing multiple all-time lows for borrowing […]

The RBA is Destroying The Australian Economy…and No One Cares. Is the RBNZ Destroying the New Zealand Economy Too?

The RBA is Destroying The Australian Economy…and No One Cares. Is the RBNZ Destroying the New Zealand Economy Too

Greg Canavan wrote last week in his excellent Rum Rebellion eletter that the Reserve Bank of Australia is destroying the Aussie economy. It prompted us to have a think about how this compares to the New Zealand economy and ask a similar question: “Is the RBNZ destroying the New Zealand economy too?” Here is what […]

Michael Pento on the Yield Curve, Recession and Why This Time is Not Different

Yield Curve, Recession and Why This Time is Not Different In this very good interview with Micheal Pento of Pento Portfolio Strategies, Pento explains why the yield curve is not dropping simply due to low European bond interest rates. He also talks about: The real reason the yield curve is inverting What an inverted yield […]

Everything is Awesome! But Will Gold Rise After the Latest Fed Rate Hike?

Last week the US Central Bank again raised interest rates. This is in response to the US economy being so strong. Will gold rise after the latest Fed rate hike and surprise everyone again?   Gold and Previous Fed Rate Hikes The chart below shows that gold has risen straight after each of previous US […]

Interest Rates and Gold: If Interest Rates Rise What Happens to Gold?

Last week’s yield curve recession indicator article proved popular with readers, so here’s more on interest rates and gold. Specifically answering the question: If interest rates rise, what happens to gold prices? This post covers: A common misconception about gold and rising interest rates Rising interest rates in the 1970’s and the effect on gold […]

Saxo Bank’s CIO: Now Is The Time To Be In Capital-Preservation Mode

At the start of each year Saxo Bank publishes their “Saxo Bank Outrageous Predictions” It’s not intended to be a real look into the crystal ball but rather food for thought. But Saxo Bank makes some wacky but still plausible scenarios for traders in the coming year. Their CIO Steen Jakobsen is a part of the […]

What’s “Changing”: Interbank Lending, Interest Rates and Inflation?

We sometimes find Bill Holter’s work at JSmineset.com a bit over the top. However this article gives a good summary of the implications of changes in interbank lending, rising interest rates, inflation and velocity of money. It also ties in nicely with an article we published earlier on the same topics: Gold: The Ultimate Iron Lady […]

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