The uncertainty brought about by COVID-19 highlighted the important role that cash plays in times of economic uncertainty. Now recent moves after the Russian invasion of Ukraine also make us think about the role of cash and then also silver coins in a currency crisis…
Table of Contents
- International Reaction to Russian Invasion to Speed Up the End of the US Dollar Reserve Currency System?
- Covid19 Saw a Huge Increase in Demand for Cash. But Was it the Best Option?
- If A Currency Collapse Occurs or Even Just a Change to the Monetary System, Would Silver Be Useful?
- New Zealand Has Never Seen a Complete Currency Collapse
- What Has Happened Elsewhere During a Currency Collapse?
- Currency Collapse in New Zealand More Likely to be Result of Global Monetary Breakdown
- So in this Case Gold and Silver Would be the Better Bet to Own Than US Dollars
- Therefore a Silver Coin From a Well Known Mint Should be a Pretty Good Bet
Estimated reading time: 10 minutes
International Reaction to Russian Invasion to Speed Up the End of the US Dollar Reserve Currency System?
The Russian invasion of Ukraine has resulted in reactions from many other countries.
The USA and other countries first blocked Russian use of the SWIFT international payment system. Then went even further. Reuters outlines how they “froze around $300 billion of Russia’s $640-billion gold and forex reserves“.
A recent Wall Street Journal piece looked at how these moves may speed a move away from the US dollar:
If Russian Currency Reserves Aren’t Really Money, the World Is in for a ShockSource.
“Sanctions have shown that currency reserves accumulated by central banks can be taken away. With China taking note, this may reshape geopolitics, economic management and even the international role of the U.S. dollar.”
The thinking is that this move may prompt many countries, even those which might currently been seen as “friendly”, to also look at how they store their own reserves.
An excellent article looking at the impacts of “cancelling” Russian reserves comes to the following conclusion:
“Don’t let anyone paint you as a stark raving Cassandra for taking drastic action to protect your standard of living by saving using different types of monetary hard assets. You cannot cancel the largest energy producer from a monetary system without massive repercussions. If even the bougiest, most establishment, sycophantic media outlets come to the same conclusions as this essay, then it’s only those who refuse to open their eyes and ears who will be left in the dust of history believing nothing is afoot.”Source.
Covid19 Saw a Huge Increase in Demand for Cash. But Was it the Best Option?
The onset of Covid-19 brought a huge increase in demand for cash.
In a 2020 speech Assistant Reserve Bank of New Zealand Governor Christian Hawkesby commented:
“During the weeks leading up to the March 25 pandemic lockdown, New Zealanders demanded an unprecedented amount of cash, with $800 million of bank notes issued in March alone (compared to $150 million in March 2019).
“These bank notes have not yet returned to the banking system, meaning they are likely still being held by the public.”
Hawkesby said since then, cash in circulation had continued to increase, growing by about 15% year on year during the second quarter of 2020.
“Many other countries have also experienced increased demand for bank notes during the pandemic, as a store of value and a back up method of payment.Source.
So people were worried about how the banking system would operate. They were looking to use cash as a back up payment method.
But if current inflation rates are anything to go by, cash will not be great as a store of value.
If A Currency Collapse Occurs or Even Just a Change to the Monetary System, Would Silver Be Useful?
So on an international scale there are likely changes coming to the monetary system. What does a currency collapse mean for the little guy in the street?
Here’s an excellent question from reader Dave on this topic: “What use silver coins would be if a currency collapse were to occur in New Zealand?” He writes how he is looking at them as a form of savings just in case they could be used as cash to pay for everyday necessities:
“I’m curious about coins. What is the utility in buying foreign coins – if I want to have a ready source of cash in NZ? (Should bad things happen!) e.g. I want to pay for petrol with Canadian silver coins? Will this work? PS and does anyone really know?”
This is a really great question and one we haven’t directly answered anywhere else before. Although we have written about the pros and cons of silver coins versus silver bars here.
New Zealand Has Never Seen a Complete Currency Collapse
To answer Dave’s P.S. first: “Does anyone really know?” Our answer is “No” – no one can know. As we’ve never had a situation in New Zealand of a complete currency collapse. A situation where we’ve needed to use silver to purchase everyday goods.
Of course that doesn’t mean it couldn’t happen…
But given no direct local historical examples of a currency collapse, all we can do is make a somewhat educated guess.
What Has Happened Elsewhere During a Currency Collapse?
Therefore probably the next best thing we can do is to look to overseas jurisdictions, where currencies have collapsed.
In recent examples, nations that have experienced a currency collapse have virtually always turned to a foreign currency to use instead. Such as in Zimbabwe, where the US dollar was mainly used when trust in the Zim dollar was completely lost.
However we are likely nearing the end of the US dollars run as global reserve currency. So perhaps relying upon holding US dollars isn’t the best bet either?
Looking at Zimbabwe we recall reading articles about people panning for gold and exchanging gold for food like this one from 8 years ago: Zimbabwe – gold for bread.
I found this quote from the video elsewhere, since the video is no longer available:
“If you need cooking oil, you need to exchange for gold. If you need soap, you need to exchange for gold. Everything is gold gold..no Zimbabwe dollars.” The shops in Zimbabwe didn’t take paper Zim dollars–only gold.
Articles from later dates than the one above talk more about Zimbabweans using US Dollars. Although as this article below says it took a while for US Dollars to be used widely: Zimbabwe after hyperinflation – In dollars they trust.
So in the early days it seems like gold would have been used. Probably barter as well. Along with the South African Rand and then mostly the US Dollar.
Currency Collapse in New Zealand More Likely to be Result of Global Monetary Breakdown
However our guess is that if a currency collapse occurred here in New Zealand, it would more likely be as a result of a global collapse in confidence in the world monetary system.
Rather than simply as a result of government money printing localised just to New Zealand. (But never say never! After all the RBNZ began its own currency printing in March 2020. It’s also set up its systems ready to implement negative interest rates in 2021.)
As alluded to earlier, we are likely nearing the end of the US dollars run as global reserve currency. Monetary scholar Edwin Vieira has pointed out that every 30 to 40 years the reigning monetary system fails and has to be retooled. It’s now been 51 years since Richard Nixon removed the ability for foreign countries to convert US Dollars in gold.
So in this Case Gold and Silver Would be the Better Bet to Own Than US Dollars
So in the case of a global monetary system breakdown causing a currency collapse in New Zealand, it looks like gold and silver might be the better bet to own than US dollars.
On to the question then about the utility of buying foreign minted coins such as say Canadian Maple silver coins.
How widely accepted would foreign minted coins be?
Your first thought may be that most people on the street today wouldn’t even be able to recognise a Canadian silver maple or an American silver eagle 1 oz coin!
However in a currency collapse situation where trust in all fiat money evaporated, it would be a fair assumption to make that people would learn in a hurry what various coins looked like.
Well known coins from national mints would likely be trusted to be authentic and pure. This might include mints such as the Royal Canadian Mint, US Mint, the Austrian Mint, the Rand Refinery in South Africa and Perth Mint in Australia.
Odds are we would also have seen a sharp rise in the number of people buying gold and silver in the lead up. So there would be more knowledge about gold and silver coins than that which exists here currently.
Therefore a Silver Coin From a Well Known Mint Should be a Pretty Good Bet
So the popular Canadian Silver Maple 1 oz coin, that Dave was referring to, would likely be a good bet.
Even if we never see a full blown currency collapse (a bet we wouldn’t want to take), silver coins will still offer protection from the almost assuredly ongoing devaluation of all currencies.
But if buying less than say 250 coins, you may also want to consider the South African Krugerrand 1oz coins.
Currently Austrian Philharmonics Are the Best Value When Buying National Mint Silver Coins
The large increase in demand for silver over the past 2 years of covid19 has resulted in many 1oz silver coins being sold out.
From what is currently available of the well known national mints, Austrian Philharmonics are the best value coins when buying 250 or more of them .You can see the difference in price between these and the Canadian Maples below. Then either click below or go to our online gold and silver shop to request a quote. Minimum order is for 250 coins. Just specify how many coins you’d like when you make your request. The best pricing is for 500 coins or more.
Silver coins can also be purchased in smaller quantities of 25 coins. However these are generally at a higher price per coin compared to buying in 500 oz boxes such as those above.
Best Value Overall: Fijian Pacific Dollar 1 oz Coins
However the lowest price 1oz silver coin we have on offer currently is the Fijian Pacific Dollar 1 oz silver coin. Available in lots from 250 oz’s up.
2018 1 oz Fiji Pacific Dollar Silver Coins
999 Fine Silver
Legal Tender in Fiji
Maximum Mintage: 250,000
Sealed in Tubes of 20
Estimated Delivery to New Zealand 3-4 weeks from ordering.
At current prices a monster box of 500 Pacific Dollar coins is around $950 cheaper than 500 Canadian Maple silver coins. These are a subscriber only special and not listed on the website.
If you’re not already a subscriber of ours then you should be! Our VIP subscribers are the first to hear about deals like these.
Sign up below or go here to learn more. You’ll also get our free ebook “19 Nuggets of Knowledge on Gold and Silver”.
To learn more about the role gold may play in the global monetary system check out this article: If/When the US Dollar Collapses, What Will Gold be Priced in?
Editors Note: This post was first published 25 July 2017. Last updated 29 March 2022 to include latest pricing on silver coins and reactions to Russian invasion.